Rate Lock Advisory

Wednesday, December 6th

Wednesday’s bond market has opened up slightly following favorable economic news. Stocks are showing noticeable gains, pushing the Dow higher by 115 points and the Nasdaq up 57 points. The bond market is currently up 2/32 (4.15%), which should improve this morning’s mortgage rates by approximately .125 of a discount point.

2/32

Bonds

30 yr - 4.15%

115

Dow

36,240

57

NASDAQ

14,287

Mortgage Rate Trend

Trailing 90 Days - National Average

  • 30 Year Fixed
  • 15 Year Fixed
  • 5/1 ARM

Indexes Affecting Rate Lock

Medium

Positive

ADP Employment

November’s ADP Employment report showed only 103,000 private-sector jobs were added last month, falling short of the 127,000 that was predicted. A downward revision to October’s number is skewing the results a little (from 113K to 106K), but we still can label the report favorable for bonds and mortgage rates since it is a sign of slowing labor activity. It is worth noting though, this report is not accurate as an indicator of what Friday’s detailed and more influential governmental Employment report is going to reveal.

Medium

Positive

Productivity and Costs (Quarterly)

We also received good news in this morning’s second release. Revised 3rd Quarter Productivity numbers were announced at 8:30 AM ET. They pointed to stronger productivity or worker output than previously estimated. The headline number was revised from up 4.7% to 5.2%. Furthermore, a secondary reading that tracks labor costs was revised lower by 0.4%. Unfortunately, this version of the report is a bit aged and doesn’t carry a high level of importance in the markets, preventing a stronger impact on this morning’s mortgage rates.

Medium

Unknown

Weekly Unemployment Claims (every Thursday)

Tomorrow’s only relevant data will be last week’s unemployment update at 8:30 AM ET. It is expected to show 223,000 new claims for unemployment benefits were made during the week. This would be an increase from the previous week’s 218,000 initial filings. Rising claims are a sign of weakness in the employment sector. Therefore, the higher the number, the better the news for mortgage rates.

Float / Lock Recommendation

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

Integrated Financial Solutions, LLC

11110 Dovedale Ct 28A
Marriottsville, MD - Maryland 21104
Equal Housing LenderEqual Housing Opportunity
Company NMLS #178114 (www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org)
Licensed by the State of Maryland-Department of Financial Regulation under license #11049
Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission as MC-4369
Licensed by the State of Delaware under license #012951
Licensed by the State of Pennsylvania under license #51172
License by the State of Florida under license #MBR4366
License by the State of Georgia under License/Registration #: 178114
This is not a guarantee to extend consumer credit as defined by Section 1026.2 of Regulation Z. Programs, interest rates, terms and fees are subject to change without notice. All loans are subject to credit approval and property appraisal. By refinancing the consumer's exiting loan, the consumer's total finance charges may be higher over the life of the loan.
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